A new study1 analysing global dividend trends has highlighted that, in the third quarter of last year, 89% of companies chose to maintain their dividend levels or raise them. Despite this, it was noted that during the quarter, global dividends reduced by 0.9% (on a headline basis) to total $421.9bn.
The true value of financial advice clearly goes well beyond simply maximising the monetary value of a client’s portfolio. As we progress through life’s journey, the major events that confront us all certainly come with financial costs. However, they also generate an array of emotions and feelings, and the provision of advice has a critical role to perform in this area too.
Building a portfolio
Analysis1 suggests the value of advice can be broken down into four pillars: portfolio, financial, time and emotional. Firstly, by working with an adviser, clients are able to construct, and rebalance when necessary, a well-diversified, tailored portfolio of investments that match their risk tolerance and enable them to achieve their life goals.
Financial and time value
Financial value essentially revolves around planning for expected and unexpected events, with help provided in a range of areas, including saving and spending strategies, legacy and estate planning, and tax efficiency. Time is clearly one of our most valuable resources and, by securing the services of an adviser, clients are able to devote more time to the things they actually enjoy doing.
Peace of mind
The final pillar, emotional value, focuses on financial peace of mind. This aspect of advice is often highlighted in research studies, with one survey9 suggesting three times as many investors report having peace of mind because of their adviser. In essence, the advice process allows clients to feel at ease and promotes confidence in the outlook for their financial future.
1Vanguard, 2022 and 2023
The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.
Falling mortgage rates bolster housing market
Hope seems to be on the horizon for the housing market as the year gets off to a promising start.
The decision from many mortgage lenders to reduce rates seems to have had the desired effect, as buyer interest has noticeably increased. Lenders are competing to offer the best deals.
At the end of the first week of January, according to Zoopla, there were 10% more prospective buyers than in 2023. TwentyCI has reported that agreed property sales reached a nine-month-high in December, with many commentators now hopeful that this signifies a market that is slowly but surely getting back on track.
Oxford Economics expects the first cut to Bank Rate will come in May, thus relieving some of the pressure that many borrowers are under. This could further increase the demand for housing which, at the end of December, Zoopla has said was 19% higher than the previous year. Higher levels of demand are likely to have a knock-on effect on house prices, which could continue to stop falling if sellers no longer need to discount their property to make a sale.
Most sought after areas
Prospective home buyers seem to be committed to returning to the capital, as London is the most-searched-for location for the second year in a row, according to Rightmove.
During the pandemic in 2021, there were months where Cornwall overtook London as the most searched-for area. However, the southwestern county has been firmly in second place for the last two years, indicating the mass exodus from cities has subsided. In fact, from 2022 to 2023, there was an 18% fall in the number of people looking to buy properties in Cornwall.
London is also the most popular location for renters according to Rightmove’s report, with Manchester and Bristol below it in the top three.
Tim Bannister, Rightmove’s Property Expert, observed that, “Many traditionally popular areas maintained their allure amongst buyers, whilst cheaper areas were also high on the list for buyers last year with affordability stretched.”
UK landlords owed late rent
The cost-of-living crisis is taking its toll on the private rented sector as tenants struggle to pay their rent on time.
According to research from mortgage lender Molo, landlords in the UK are owed an average of £725 in overdue rent. Those in Yorkshire and the North East are particularly affected, experiencing the highest number of late payments each year. Meanwhile, landlords in Greater London are owed the most amount of money.
VP of Strategy at Molo, Mark Michaelides, commented, “Our recent research found that over half (54%) of landlords have implemented payment plans for tenants facing late rent. He added, “As a tenant, it’s important not to ignore the problem. I’d advise tenants to communicate promptly, explaining reasons for delays and requesting additional time. Open dialogue can lead to collaborative solutions.”
All details are correct at the time of writing (17/01/24)
It is important to take professional advice before making any decision relating to your personal finances. Information within this document is based on our current understanding and can be subject to change without notice and the accuracy and completeness of the information cannot be guaranteed. It does not provide individual tailored investment advice and is for guidance only. Some rules may vary in different parts of the UK. We cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Levels and bases of, and reliefs from, taxation are those currently applying or proposed and are subject to change; their value depends on the individual circumstances of the investor. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without prior permission.
Different challenges set to confront investors in 2024
The newly-released UK Commercial Cross Sector Outlook for 2024 from Savills has provided insight for the year ahead. Expectations from Mat Oakley, Director of Commercial Research, suggest that the factors impacting property values and confidence are set to improve this year, but as high inflation and interest rates abate, different challenges are set to confront investors.
Although reducing, borrowing costs are not expected to return to the levels experienced in the ten or so years prior to the pandemic. With a General Election due to be held this year, it’s impact is likely to be measured. The report outlines, ‘Our analyses suggest that transactional activity is generally lower than normal in the three months prior to the election date, and then recovers in the following six-month period.’
Focusing on sectors, undersupply of green and prime office space is a continuing theme, driving rental growth. Investor demand is expected to intensify ‘to capitalise on this’ according to the Outlook. With retail, this year ‘cautious expansion of retail footprints’ is likely, which will contribute toward a continuation of a downward trend in vacancy rates, which commenced last year. The expectation is that parts of the retail sector will attract opportunistic investors seeking higher yields and capital growth potential from possible change of use of premises. Evidence suggests that life sciences and logistics top the list for commercial property investors in 2024, with ‘weighting towards these sectors’ on the rise. Income-focused investors continue to be enticed by a mix of robust rental growth prospects, limited supply and structural change-driven demand, in the logistics and life sciences domain.
Investor optimism
A recent survey of over 100 global real estate fund managers, conducted by professional services firm Alvarez & Marsal, has highlighted that 70% of global real estate investors are planning to increase their UK exposure this year.
Looking ahead over the next year to 18 months, the research found that of the investors surveyed, most are interested in supporting leisure, travel, work and retail, with 87% keen to invest in the hotel and leisure sector, 71% in office buildings and 67% in retail.
Interestingly, the vast majority (97%) of investors cite ESG as an important element of their investment strategy, with smart building technology, green building certifications and energy efficient upgrades, prime concerns for ESG-oriented investors.
Managing Director at Alvarez & Marsal, Kersten Muller, commented on the findings, “The growing consensus that interest rates have peaked suggests that the worst of the uncertainty may be behind us. While this could pave the way for a rebound in the real estate sector in 2024, investors should continue to exercise caution when evaluating the types of properties and markets they deem worthy of their capital.”
Falling investment volumes north of the border
In 2023, a total of £1.49bn in commercial property investment volumes was transacted in Scotland, representing a 34% decline year-on-year, according to Savills.
This reduction can be attributed to uncertainty in the economy, although the second half of 2023 saw an uptick in activity, increasing 39% versus H2 2022 volumes.
Interestingly, contrary to the wider national trend, retail transactions reached £714m in Scotland, over 50% up on offices (£357m), followed by industrial, leisure and alternatives – £172m, £144m and £105m respectively. Strength in the retail sector is primarily due to the robust occupational market, with destinations like George Street in Edinburgh and Buchanan Street in Glasgow supporting the sector.
For the second consecutive year, overseas investors were categorised as the most active buyer type, with nearly £46m of transactions (totalling £680m) attributable to this group, although representative of a large reduction in 2022 overseas investor volumes (£1.025bn). Other active investors in the market are property companies (£342m), private investors (£187m) and UK institutions (£127m).
Director in the Scottish investment team at Savills, Aly Wright, commented on the findings, “All things considered, 2023 was a relatively positive year, and whilst we anticipate a slow first quarter of 2024, we are positive this will pick up post Easter as markets continue to stabilise.”
All details are correct at the time of writing (17/01/24)
It is important to take professional advice before making any decision relating to your personal finances. Information within this document is based on our current understanding and can be subject to change without notice and the accuracy and completeness of the information cannot be guaranteed. It does not provide individual tailored investment advice and is for guidance only. Some rules may vary in different parts of the UK. We cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Levels and bases of, and reliefs from, taxation are those currently applying or proposed and are subject to change; their value depends on the individual circumstances of the investor. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without prior permission.
Why not kickstart 2024 by reassessing your finances, particularly if you’ve undergone recent life changes? This should include reviewing your protection insurance to ensure it aligns with your current needs.
Over the past 12 months, the cost-of-living crisis has put significant pressure on household budgets and knocked many people’s confidence in their future financial prospects. Research, however, shows that planning is a key driver of positivity about our financial futures; so, as a new year dawns, now seems the perfect time to take stock of your finances and formulate a plan to help you achieve your retirement goals.
Minnie and Olga, Regina and Stuart – are all storm names for 2024 pre-allocated by the Met Office. With the average claim for storm damage topping £3,0001, it’s important to protect your home against extreme weather. So, what measures can you take?
Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt delivered his Autumn Statement on 22 November, with a host of announcements on personal taxation and measures for business. Housing was largely absent from the key fiscal event, but there are a couple of points to be aware of.
A new year is an ideal time to reassess your finances, especially if you’ve recently experienced some life changes. Make sure that a review of your protection insurance is near the top of your to do list in 2024.
The past few years have been challenging for investors with a series of unforeseen events and rising geopolitical tensions weighing heavily on global markets and, as a new year dawns, many issues remain unresolved. However, while such times are disconcerting for investors, historically the best way to achieve financial empowerment is by sticking to a sound strategic plan that optimises investment decisions and thereby tackles any potential issues head on.
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